FUNDAMENTALS
Understand the economy.
Keep the evidence.
A research workspace for economic releases, historical data and the questions behind a fundamentals model.
01 — THE WORKSPACE
A release is more than a number.
Connect the observation, publication and research context in one place.
Year-over-year change
Consumer prices
Track release dates, revisions and the change in underlying price pressure.
Know what the series measures.
Keep the definition, units, frequency and source with the observation. Distinguish a monthly change from a year-over-year rate.
Know when it became available.
Separate the observation period from its release time. Preserve the version that was available at each research cutoff.
Follow the research question.
Connect an event to model experiments and reviewed notes without treating the interpretation as a validated forecast.
The workspace is an interface concept. The interactive chart uses illustrative data; it is not a live economic feed.
02 — RESEARCH THEMES
Read across the economic cycle.
These are areas of research focus. Availability, historical depth and revision coverage are assessed for each source.
| Theme | Example observations | Research question |
|---|---|---|
| Inflation | Consumer prices, producer prices, consumption prices | Is price pressure broadening, easing or changing composition? |
| Growth | Output, industrial activity, consumption | Which parts of the economy are expanding or weakening? |
| Employment | Payrolls, unemployment, wages, vacancies | How are labour demand and wage pressure evolving? |
| Monetary policy | Policy decisions, rates, published statements | How does policy respond to the observed economic environment? |
| Liquidity & credit | Money, lending, credit conditions | How are financing conditions changing across the cycle? |
| Market context | Currency, commodity and index observations | How does the market response compare with the economic context? |
03 — RELEASE WORKFLOW
From a source release to a research record.
Collect the source
Identify the official publication and capture the series definition, observation period, release time and revision status.
Prepare the observation
Apply explicit unit conversions and transformations. Preserve the original value alongside the processed research input.
Run the experiment
Use the eligible data snapshot for the chosen decision time. Record the model version, target, parameters and output.
Review and retain
Check the source and interpretation. Keep the experiment and note together so a later review can reconstruct the reasoning.
04 — DESIGN PRINCIPLES
Make the research inspectable.
Source provenance
An observation should be traceable to its publication. Research notes should make the source behind a factual claim easy to find.
Historical vintages
Later revisions should not silently replace the inputs used by an earlier experiment. Vintage availability is part of the dataset assessment.
Independent model work
Keep statistical forecasts and their evaluation separate from published consensus and AI-generated commentary.
Honest coverage
Record the usable history of each series. Our 18-year historical-data research span does not imply identical coverage for every input.